This is the second of a three-part by venture capitalist Mark Suster of GRP Partners on “Social Networking: The Past, Present, And Future.” Follow him on Twitter @msuster.
Social Networking in Web 2.0: Plaxo & LinkedIn
In my last post,
I discussed the origins of social networking online, beginning with
CompuServe, Prodigy, the Well, then the rise of AOL, Geocities and Yahoo
Groups. Next began the era of “spam-based” networks of which Plaxo
(founded in 2002) was the king. Co-founded by Sean Parker (yes, the
same one who worked with Mark Zuckerberg in the early days of Facebook),
it encouraged groups of people to email everybody in their email
address books and “connect” on Plaxo so that when any of their contact
information was changed online it could by synchronized with everybody’s
local computer version and thus we could all stay in touch.
There was a backlash against the Plaxo spamming yet it paved the way
for everybody who came after them to get users to drive viral adoption
and we’d throw up our arms and say, “oh boy, here goes another social
network that my friends are going to spam me about” mentality that made
it acceptable for everybody who came afterward.
And come after they did. While Plaxo never figured out what to do
with us once we were all connected online, LinkedIn did. They formed us
into networks of networkers. It was suddenly now not only about whom I
was connected to, but who they knew and how I could get access to them.
We suddenly all wanted intros. It added a new dimension to online
social networks … business networking. And they encouraged us to part
with a lot more data about ourselves making LinkedIn our virtual resume.
And importantly Web 2.0 ushered in the era of “participation” – we
all know that. But less considered is the fact that the success of the
Web 2.0 companies versus the Web 1.0 ones were enhanced because they
coincided with hardware that allowed us to capture more content
instantly – namely images and video – otherwide Web 2.0 might have been a
lot less differentiated. Suddenly we were all creating blogs on
Blogger.com, Typepad & WordPress. We started uploading images of
ourselves to our blogs.
But the masses didn’t want to blog. They wanted to publish pictures
of themselves & their friends, share them, communicate with others,
stay connected, have common experiences, find people to date, etc. As
I’ve said, it’s the same shit as the 1980′s – I swear.
Modern Social Networking: Friendster, MySpace & Facebook
We all know Friendster was the trailblazer in this category allowing
people to create personal pages and connect to other people in a
LinkedIn style but without the “business” and with a little more
interactivity (let’s face it, for the longest time most users “friended”
people on LinkedIn but then never really did much else). But
Friendster’s computer systems couldn’t keep up with the explosive growth
(reportedly due to the complexity of the security model set up to
control connections, privacy and authenticity of users) so MySpace was
hot on the heels and swept up the market in a very rapid ascent.
Friendster was DOA.
And there it was – MySpace was growing at the exact time we all had
cheap digital cameras, smartphones with cameras and new, cheap video
cameras like the Flip that allowed us to create video.
Except that MySpace didn’t handle images or video well. Luckily
Photobucket & ImageShack did. So users put all their photos on
Photobucket & their videos on YouTube and shared them with their
friends through MySpace.
Fox bought MySpace for $580 million and then did a deal with Google
worth more than the purchase price to serve up ads. For a nanosecond
Rupert Murdoch seemed like the smartest guy on the Internet. Google
acquired YouTube for $1.65 billion, which at the time seemed laughably
high and now seems prescient. Google turned YouTube into one of the
most valuable future Internet properties. MySpace would have liked to
own YouTube but didn’t have the public stock valuation to purchase them
at the price that Google did.
MySpace later bought Photobucket for $250 million + $50 million earn
out. It did not have the same success as Google’s acquisition and
MySpace sold Photobucket 2 years later to a relatively unknown
Seattle-based startup called Ontela for a reportedly $60 million.
Murdoch seethed at these “startups” getting rich off the back of
MySpace. The conventional wisdom at Fox’s headquarters is that MySpace
had “made” both YouTube & Photobucket by allowing them distribution.
MySpace vowed not to create anymore million dollar successes off of
their backs that Google could then acquire.
So Fox ludicrously set up a quasi internal innovation center called
Slingshot Labs. The goal was to create innovations outside of MySpace
and then MySpace would acquire them at pre-agreed prices based on how
well they performed. This was Politburo-style innovation and was
laughable. I literally snortled
when I heard that they were going to do this. It was obviously a
scheme set up by young entrepreneurs to line their pockets and some
big-company executives who didn’t understand innovation.
Enter Facebook. It had grown stratospherically from 2004-2007 to 100
million users, which actually was slightly smaller in December 2007
then MySpace was. Facebook was everything that MySpace wasn’t. It was:
up-market, exclusive, urban, elite, aesthetically pleasing, ad-free and
users were verified. MySpace was: scantily dressed, teenaged,
middle-America, design chaos and on ad steroids.
But the critical distinction in the direction of both companies was
that while MySpace was putting up moats to keep outside companies from
innovating and making money off their backs, Facebook took the opposite
approach. It launched open API’s and created a platform whereby
third-party developers could come build any app they wanted and Facebook
didn’t even want (yet) to take any money from them to do so. So along
come companies like Slide, RockYou & Zynga who wanted to build apps
across all the social networks but were green-lighted the hardest
by Mark Zuckerberg.
It was at that moment that a 22-year-old Mark Zuckerberg completely
schooled the 75-year-old Rupert Murdoch. Within the next 12 months
Facebook users doubled to 200 million while MySpace stayed flat at 100
million. The lesson was learned over 30 years in Silicon Valley: you
create ecosystems where third-parties can innovate and thrive and you
become the legitimate center of it all and can tax the system later.
Ask Microsoft, Autodesk or Salesforce.com – the evidence was there from
Seattle to Sand Hill Road.
Facebook went on become larger than even Google and Yahoo! in terms
of time spent on the sites. Slingshot Labs was unsurprisingly closed
within a short period of time and its properties sold-off or dismantled.
Duh.
Social Networking goes Real Time: Twitter
While Facebook was built on the idea that all our information was
private and shared only between friend (before they changed this after
the fact), Twitter was born under the idea that most of the information
shared there was open and viewable by anybody. This was revolutionary
in thinking and worked because as a user you understood this bargain
when you started. Twitter is not the place to share pictures of your
kids with your family.
Another Twitter innovation was “asymmetry” because you didn’t have to
have a two-way following relationship to be connected. You could
follow people who didn’t necessarily follow you back. This allowed
followers to be able to “curate” their newsfeed with people that they
found interesting. Twitter restricts each post to 140 characters so
users often share links with other people – one of the most important
features of Twitter. So this combination of following people you found
interesting who share links drove a sort of “news exchange” that
mimicked many of the features of RSS readers except that it was curated
by other people!
Twitter is much more. I’ve written extensively on the topic,
but in a nutshell it is: an RSS reader, a chat room, instant messaging,
a marketing channel, a customer service department and increasingly a
data mine.
But what is magic about Twitter is that it is real time. In most
instances news is now breaking on Twitter and then being picked up by
news organizations.
The one major thing that Twitter doesn’t have figured out quite yet
is that platform thing or at least how to encourage a bunch of 3rd-party
developers to build meaningful add-on products. Twitter seems to have
become a bit allergic to third-party developers (or maybe vice-versa).
18 months ago 25% of all pitches to me were ideas for how to build
products around Twitter’s API. Now I don’t get any. Not one. Yet the
number of businesses looking to build on the Facebook platform seems to
have increased.
Given I’m a passionate user of Twitter, I sure hope somebody there
will re-read the MySpace vs. Facebook section above. Lesson learned (to
me at least) – let people get stinking rich off your platform and tax
‘em later. That way other companies innovate on their own shekels (or
at least a VCs) and let the best man win. Close shop to try and control
monetization and you can only rely on your own internal innovation
machine & capital. Seems kinda obvious or am I missing somethign?
Rupert?
Social Networking is Becoming Mobile: Foursquare and Skout
The trend that is unfolding before our eyes is that Social Networking
is now becoming mobile and that adds new dimensions to how we use
social networks. The most obvious change is that now social networks
become “location aware.” The highest profile brand in this space is
Foursquare. Pundits are mixed on whether Foursquare represents a major
technology trend or a fad but undoubtedly it has captured the zeitgeist
of the technology elite at this moment in time. At a minimum it has
been a trailblazer of innovation that a generation of companies are
trying to copy.
As our social actions become both public and location specific it
opens up all types of future potential use cases. One obvious one is
dating where players like Skout are trying to cash in on. When you
think about it, young & single people go out to bars & clubs in
hopes of meeting people to “hook up” with. In a perfect world you’d
like that person to be compatible with you in additional to being
attracted to them, yet as a society we go into bars and have no idea
what it behind any of the people we see other than the immediacy of
their looks and whether we can get enough liquid courage into ourselves
to talk with them and learn more.
It’s obvious to me that the future of dating will involve mobile,
social networks that tell us more about the compatibility of the people
around us. It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to see how big people
like Match.com and eHarmony became on the trend of helping us find our
dating partners and why this would be improved my mobile, social
networks. How long this trend takes is unclear – but in 10 years I feel
confident we’ll look back and say, “duh.”
FourSquare obviously brings up a lot of interesting commercial
opportunities. For years I saw companies pitching themselves as “mobile
coupon companies” and I never believed this would be a big idea. I’m
not a big believer that people walk around with their mobile devices and
say, “let me now pull out my device and see wether there are any
coupons around me.” I always said that if an application could engage
the user in some other way – like a game – it would earn the right to
serve up coupons as a by-product. I think that is what Foursquare has
done well.
In the future I don’t believe that Foursquare’s “check-in” game with
badges will be enough to hold users interests but for now it’s working
well. I’ve always said that if Foursquare has a “second act” coming it
could be a really big company. In the long-run I believe that check-ins
will be more seamless – something handled by infrastructure in the
background. So I expect more and new games from Foursquare in the
future. One awesome features of today’s Foursquare that often isn’t
talked about is the ability to graph your friends on a real-time map and
see where everybody is. This is a killer feature for the 20 and 30
something crowds for sure. Me? When I go out I mostly prefer to eat in
peace with my wife and friends without people knowing where we are – I
guess we all get old ;-)
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